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  • Writer's pictureConnie Chan

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Orbiting 16880 - 25 December 2022

BTC/USD Locked in Tight Range: Sally Ho’s Technical Analysis – 25 December 2022

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) remained locked in a tight range early in the Asian session as the pair continued to hug the 16880.44 area, a level that represents the 23.6% retracement of the depreciating range from 21478.80 to 15460. A recent rebound saw BTC/USD test the 18469.40 area, a level it could not sustain as elevated risk aversion resulted in more downward pressure. Selling pressure recently intensified around the 18385.36 and 17525 levels and BTC/USD tested downside price objectives related to these levels, including the 16375.18 area. Additional related downside price objectives related to these areas of selling pressure include the 15900, 15313, and 14364 levels. If BTC/USD reclaims some upside momentum, additional technically significant upside retracement levels include the 18495, 19199, 20070, and 20201 levels.

Understanding Bitcoin's 64% Decline in 2022

BTC/USD has depreciated approximately 63% year-to-date, and is off more than 1% month-to-date. Below current price activity, BTC/USD bears are eyeing a possible test of recent two-year lows around the 15460 area, established after Stops were elected below the 15512 area. Notably, the 15512 level represented an exact bearish price objective based on selling pressure that strengthened around the 21478.80 and 18495.50 areas. Below these areas, technically significant levels include the 14613, 14500.15, 13369, 10432.73, 10727, 9682, 8837, and 7538 levels. Traders are observing that the 50-bar MA (4-hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 100-bar MA (4-hourly) and below the 200-bar MA (4-hourly). Also, the 50-bar MA (hourly) is bearishly indicating below the 200-bar MA (hourly) and above the 100-bar MA (hourly).

Price activity is nearest the 200-bar MA (4-hourly) at 16838.55 and the 200-bar MA (Hourly) at 16820.97.

Technical Support is expected around 14500.15/ 13369.11/ 10727.75 with Stops expected below.

Technical Resistance is expected around 18495.40/ 19199.48/ 20070.64 with Stops expected above.

On 4-Hourly chart, SlowK is Bullishly above SlowD while MACD is Bullishly above MACDAverage.

On 60-minute chart, SlowK is Bearishly below SlowD while MACD is Bearishly below MACDAverage.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.


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